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Conference Reference A dual-nutrient-reduction strategy to control eutrophication in the southern North Sea continental waters.
For decades the marine ecological models have sustained progressive developments and been subjected to an increasing degree of complexity in their processes, forcings and parameterization. In parallel, the validation techniques have evolved from visual to statistical comparisons, allowing fair estimates of the bias and correlations between model results and reference data. Still, it is difficult to estimate in advance what will be the uncertainty attached to any model prediction because of the complexity of the ecological models and the non linearity of their response to a change. Also, it is not trivial to determine the uncertainty of the model response due to one specific forcing, especially when this forcing is variable in time and space. The uncertainty in an ecological model response is somewhat linked to the model sensitivity to a perturbation. Since the non-linear model response to a perturbation may vary in a wide range of possibilities, we chose to base our assessment on the probability theory by applying a “light” Monte-Carlo experiment. It consists in a reduced number of randomly-perturbed simulations where knowledge of the system allows narrowing the range of perturbations. We applied the light Monte-Carlo experiment on a biogeochemical model in the English Channel and the southern North Sea (3D-MIRO&CO). The uncertainty on modelled chlorophyll a prediction was studied as a response, first, to random wind perturbations and, second, to random phytoplankton autolysis values. Statistical and probabilistic quantification of the results is being presented for the Belgian coastal and offshore zones.
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications
Inproceedings Reference A first step in DNA barcoding hybotid flies (Diptera, Empidoidea)
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications
Inproceedings Reference A first step in DNA barcoding hybotid flies (Diptera, Empidoidea)
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications / Pending Duplicate Bibliography Entries
Inproceedings Reference A first, local DNA barcode reference database of the forensically important flies (Diptera) of the island of La Reunion
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications 2017
Article Reference A freshwater ∆47-ostracod calibration to characterize lacustrine changes at a regional scale: preliminary results
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications 2022
Inproceedings Reference A history of mass transport complexes related to eruptions and earthquake shaking: the case of Lake Motosu (Japan)
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications 2016
Inproceedings Reference A history of transitions: human environmental interactions in the high altitude zone between the Neolithic and the Roman Period
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications
Inproceedings Reference A hitchhiker’s guide to tilapia: How parasites take a ride on introduced Nile tilapia in the DR Congo
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications 2016
Inproceedings Reference A large meteoritic event over Antarctica ca. 430 ka ago inferred from chondritic spherules from the Sor Rondane Mountains
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications 2021
Inproceedings Reference A long record of extreme wave events in coastal Lake Hamana, Japan
Located in Library / RBINS Staff Publications 2017